Please see the comments.
I cannot in good faith support what you will read below, and have struggled with it in the days since I wrote it. However I am going to leave the article as a reminder to readers who may believe that I never question my own beliefs, and to myself that it’s better to admit you’ve screwed up than to hide the fact.
To summarize: I believe the climate is warming. However I am not convinced that humans are to blame for it. I also believe that without a better understanding of the climate, the actions we take out of ignorance could make things worse. I’m not sure where this places me on the issue, but I’m sure it’s in the category of “flake”/”ignorant dissenter” depending on your point of view.
I really hate to admit this. It’s painful but necessary because this journal is devoted to the quest for Absolute Truth as revealed by Occam’s Razor. As the evidence for man-made causes of global warming continue to pile up, the arguments countering that evidence become increasingly shrill.
So I’m announcing that I have been swayed – not by Al Gore and the Hollywood Idiot Brigade – but by the scientists at this site: Real Climate. I accept that the phenomenon known as “Global Warming” is real and is largely caused by human activity.
There – I said it.
Occam’s Razor cuts regardless of politics; that’s part of its usefulness. When the evidence has mounted to a point where no other simple explanation exists to explain it because the alternate hypotheses have become convoluted an complex – then Occam’s Razor slices and you are left facing the Truth in all its beauty and grandeur – whether you like it or not.
I’m not dogmatic. The Jesuits killed off that tendency long ago, God Bless Their (excommunicated 3x) Souls. And I still don’t understand how scientists can predict the climate a hundred years from now with accuracy but can’t predict the weather 2 months out better than the chance. However, when the scientists at Real Climate smack down the global warming dissident arguments, they are devastatingly effective. I am not egotistical enough to believe that just because I don’t understand something doesn’t mean it’s not true. These guys are pros – and know their stuff alot better than I know their stuff – and certainly better than “1 Square” loonies like Sheryl Crow.
I do not see this issue as undermining my faith in the free market, capitalism and neo-conservativism. In fact the challenges posed by global warming seem to support them – new technologies, an America freed from imported oil – what’s not to like?
I can even continue to make fun of Al Gore.
There’s plenty of ground to argue about, but I cannot in good faith argue with this premise anymore. Global warming is real and it is largely caused by human activity.
What comes next? E85, better conservation and getting hypocrites like the Limousine Liberals to stop trashing the planet… Yeah, there’s plenty to fight about.